Exports to the European Union and the US have accounted for 34.6 percent of the country’s total export turnover so far this year.
They reached US$29.1 billion in the first three quarters, and are expected to rise to US$38.5 billion by the end of the year, much higher than last year’s figure.
Nguyen Tien Vy, Head of the Planning
Department under the Ministry of Industry and Trade (MoIT), estimates Vietnam’s total
export turnover at US$83.78 billion by September, up 18.9 percent over the same
period last year. 
Harvesting dragon fruits for export
He says even there are growing demands for consumer goods from these two markets, local exporters should be more cautious about seasonal fluctuations and anti-dumping suits against imports from Vietnam.
Susan Schwab, a former US trade representative, suggests Vietnam should also boost exports to other countries. Too much dependence on the US market may put them at risk. History shows that Vietnam has more than once run into trouble when the US put up technical barriers to maintain its trade balance, she says.
Economist Bui Kien Thanh says there is a limit to Vietnam’s value-added export items, including footwear, garment and textile products, which are simply based on low-cost labour.
Thanh says local businesses should focus on exporting agricultural products and consumer goods of high value which are much sought after in the world.
Aside from the EU and US, China is also considered one of Vietnam’s leading trade partners, which made up 20.5 percent of total turnover in the first nine months of this year.
Nevertheless, there’s growing concern about Vietnam’s over-reliance on imports from China.
According to the General Statistics Office (GSO), Vietnam has recently imported a huge volume of input materials from China, including machinery, spare parts, telephones, computers, electronics, garment and textile materials, petrol, fertilisers, and animal feed.
Dao Ngoc Chuong, Deputy Head of the MoIT’s Asia-Pacific Market Department, attributes Vietnam’s import surplus from the Chinese market to the weak development of local support industries to meet increasing demand for domestic production and export business even in the short run.
Moreover, he says, China is at a greater advantage than Vietnam in terms of price gauging and geographical position.
Chuong reveals that Vietnam needs not only input materials but also cheap consumer products which are mostly imported through unofficial channels. Hence, the exact figure of Vietnam’s total import surplus from China is yet to be determined.
He warns as China is exporting inferior products to less developed countries, Vietnam should have second thoughts about importing input materials from this market.
Obviously, Vietnam’s import-export performance remains overdependent on overseas markets and needs to adapt to a more dynamic development trend.
(VOV)
